Sunday 29 January 2012

Between 0.00335% and 0.0134% of benefit recipients affected by £26,000 benefit cap

From what I can gather these are the correct figures.

apparently 67,000 people are expected to be affected by the benefit cap whether working part time or out of work.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/mobile/uk-politics-16675314 looks like figures have been revised upwards frm 50,000 to 67,000

1 in 8 people on housing benefit are unemployed
http://england.shelter.org.uk/news/previous_years/2010/june_2010/housing_benefit_warning

approx 2.5 million people are on JSA

if we times this by 8 to get the total number of people on benefits of some sort this adds up to 20 million.

Dividing 20 million by 67,000 we get 298.5 which means that 1/298.5 of people will be affected by the benefit cap or 0.00335%

To get a more accurate figure of those of working age affected I have doubled that amount as half of the people in receipt of housing benefit are OAPs  resulting in 0.0067% - and then doubled it again as the cap applies per household and many people live as couples - this reaches the figure of 0.0134% - so this is a definate over estimation. 

As such - those affected by the benefit cap are in an extreme minority and therefore in exceptional circumstances. 

To put this in context - a couple living together in my area without children would receive approx £10,000 between them ie for their household - thats adding up JSA, Housing Benefit and Council Tax Benefit and thats if they are over 35 - if they are under 35 it would be less.

3 comments:

  1. cheers Rob lol! the end results are teh same I think as I think? that the number of peeople counted as the 1 in 8 are the unemployed rather than those on IB/ESA. so percentage even lower if ib/esa taken into account. jusst try n check re the 1 in 8 report I read. thank you :D

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  2. edited n changed - Im not sure if my workings out re theory side of things are correct? thank you for input :D

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